Morning brief · April 2026
Inventory turns eased to 6.3x from 6.9x — the container that cleared customs early pushed DIO to 58 days and ~$96K of cash is in stock ahead of the planned launch.
Turns are still healthy for DTC, but the pre-buy moved cash three weeks earlier than modelled. $96,000 one-time effect
How this number is derived ✓ Reviewed by the second model
Revenue
$856,000
Plan $836,000
Operating result
$68,000
Gross margin
48.0%
Runway
Cash-positive
on $364,000 cash
Revenue — actuals and the calculated outlook
Ready to deliver · Management report
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$364,000 today → $171,645 in week 13 · lowest point $73,402 (week 5) · no cash-floor breach
View weekly schedule
| Week | Week of | Opening | Receipts | Disbursements | Ending |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2026-05-25 | $364,000 | $197,691 | $255,810 | $305,880 |
| 2 | 2026-06-01 | $305,880 | $197,691 | $255,810 | $247,761 |
| 3 | 2026-06-08 | $247,761 | $197,691 | $255,810 | $189,641 |
| 4 | 2026-06-15 | $189,641 | $197,691 | $255,810 | $131,522 |
| 5 | 2026-06-22 | $131,522 | $197,691 | $255,810 | $73,402 |
| 6 | 2026-06-29 | $73,402 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $85,682 |
| 7 | 2026-07-06 | $85,682 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $97,963 |
| 8 | 2026-07-13 | $97,963 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $110,243 |
| 9 | 2026-07-20 | $110,243 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $122,523 |
| 10 | 2026-07-27 | $122,523 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $134,804 |
| 11 | 2026-08-03 | $134,804 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $147,084 |
| 12 | 2026-08-10 | $147,084 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $159,365 |
| 13 | 2026-08-17 | $159,365 | $197,691 | $185,410 | $171,645 |
Forecast reliability Inferred
Your revenue forecasts have run 11% optimistic over the last 6 months.
A summary of how your past forecasts compared with what actually happened — historical reliability, not a guarantee about the next one.
How we measure it: every past monthly forecast is scored against the month that actually closed — out-of-sample, never fit to the answer.
Books closed 2026-04-30 · cash bridge reconciles weekly · drift claims carry a second-model review
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